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Chemours Co (CC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue and EPS topped Street: Net sales $1.615B vs $1.567B* and Adjusted EPS $0.58 vs $0.46*, while Adjusted EBITDA rose 22% YoY to $253M; GAAP EPS was a loss due to litigation charges .
    Values marked * are from S&P Global.
  • TSS led upside with Opteon refrigerants +65% YoY and segment EBITDA margin expanding to 35%; TT volumes improved sequentially, while APM price/mix lifted margins; company-wide net loss of $381M reflected New Jersey PFAS settlement accounting .
  • Guidance: Q3 EBITDA $175–$195M and sales down 4–6% sequentially; FY25 Adjusted EBITDA cut to $775–$825M (from $825–$950M previously); FY25 sales $5.9–$6.0B; capex ~ $250M; H2 FCF conversion 60–80% .
  • Strategic/legal de-risking: Comprehensive New Jersey PFAS settlement (Chemours’ NPV share ≈ $250M) supported by $150M insurance rights and expected release of ~$50M escrow; net leverage 4.7x TTM Adjusted EBITDA with $1.5B liquidity .
    “Values retrieved from S&P Global” for any items marked *.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • TSS outperformance: “Opteon refrigerants grew 65% YoY… contributing to a 35% adjusted EBITDA margin,” benefiting from the U.S. AIM Act stationary AC transition; Opteon now ~75% of total refrigerants revenue vs 57% a year ago .
  • Pricing and portfolio in APM: Higher pricing in high-value applications and SPS Capstone wind-down supported 14% segment EBITDA margin; sequential sales +18% .
  • Legal clarity: “Settlement with the State of New Jersey… resolves all statewide environmental claims, including PFAS,” with funding plan via $150M insurance proceeds and ~$50M escrow release through 2030, reducing litigation overhang .

What Went Wrong

  • TT margin pressure and ops disruptions: TT price -4% YoY with discrete operational issues (rail service interruption; higher-cost ore consumption), adding ~$15M incremental cost and ~$8M other disruption costs in Q2; Q3 expects another ~$15M ops cost .
  • APM outage: Unplanned shutdown at Washington Works due to power outage; Q3 APM EBITDA guided to ~$15M with ~$20M outage costs .
  • GAAP loss driven by litigation charges: Net loss of $381M (–$2.54/sh) due to $257M NJ-related charges within SG&A and tax impacts despite better operating performance .

Financial Results

Consolidated summary (YoY and QoQ context; estimates comparison in “Estimates Context”)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales ($MM)$1,554 $1,368 $1,615
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$207 $166 $253
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.39 $(0.03) $(2.54)
Adjusted Diluted EPS$0.38 $0.13 $0.58

Segment performance

SegmentMetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
TSSNet Sales ($MM)$519 $466 $597
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$160 $141 $207
Adj. EBITDA Margin31% 30% 35%
TTNet Sales ($MM)$677 $597 $657
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$83 $50 $47
Adj. EBITDA Margin12% 8% 7%
APMNet Sales ($MM)$345 $294 $346
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$45 $32 $50
Adj. EBITDA Margin13% 11% 14%

TSS product KPIs

KPI ($MM)Q2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Opteon Refrigerants$227 $279 $375
Freon Refrigerants$173 $97 $123
Foam, Propellants & Other$119 $90 $99
Opteon as % of refrigerants (mgmt)57% ~75%

Liquidity/Leverage/FCF

MetricQ2 2025
Gross Debt$4.2B
Cash & Equivalents$502M
Net Leverage (TTM Adj. EBITDA)~4.7x
Total Liquidity$1.5B (cash $502M + RCF $954M)
Operating Cash Flow$93M
Capex$43M
Free Cash Flow$50M
Dividend Declared (3Q25)$0.0875/sh

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Consolidated Net SalesFY 2025$5.9–$6.0B New
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$825–$950M $775–$825M Lowered
CapexFY 2025$225–$275M ≈$250M Tightened/Narrowed
FCF ConversionH2 202560–80% implied 60–80% Maintained
Q3 Net Sales (seq)Q3 2025Down 4–6% New
Q3 Adjusted EBITDAQ3 2025$175–$195M New
Q3 Corporate ExpensesQ3 2025~5% lower seq New
Q3 CapexQ3 2025≈$50M New
Q3 FCF ConversionQ3 202560–80% New
TSS (seq)Q3 2025Sales down mid-single-digit%; EBITDA down low-teens% New
TT (seq)Q3 2025Sales down low-single-digit%; EBITDA down low-teens% incl. ~$15M ops cost New
APM (seq)Q3 2025Sales down mid-teens%; EBITDA ≈$15M incl. ~$20M outage cost New
Dividend3Q25$0.0875 (Q2 board action) $0.0875 declared for 3Q25 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Opteon/Regulatory tailwindQ4’24: Record Q4 TSS sales; regulatory adoption; Opteon YF expansion complete . Q1’25: Opteon +40% YoY; OEM transition under U.S. AIM Act .Opteon +65% YoY; 75% of refrigerants sales; margins 35% .Strengthening; mix shifting to Opteon.
TT supply/demand & tradeQ4’24: TT cost saves; pricing down; transformation plan . Q1’25: TT volumes up in western “fair trade” markets, price -4% .Sequentials better on volume; ops headwinds; management cites China capacity rationalization and effective duties .Cautious improvement; watch ops reliability.
Ops reliability/COEQ1’25: Cold weather downtime in TT .CEO elevates manufacturing COE engagement; phases to improve reliability; acknowledges discrete issues in TT/APM .Focused remediation underway.
Legal de-risking (PFAS)Ongoing legacy matters; 2024 insurance recoveries .NJ settlement (NPV ≈$250M share) funded via $150M insurance and ~$50M escrow; clarifies multi-year payments .Positive de-risking step.
AI/Liquid coolingDataVolt collaboration (liquid cooling) and Samsung qualification of Opteon 2-phase immersion fluid .Emerging growth vector.

Management Commentary

  • “Our results surpassed our expectations… driven by strong demand for Opteon, volume growth in TT, and favorable pricing in APM… we reached a settlement to comprehensively resolve all statewide environmental claims… in New Jersey.” — CEO Denise Dignam .
  • “Opteon refrigerants make up 75% of total refrigerants revenues, up from 57% in the prior year quarter… our YF capacity expansion at Corpus Christi is ahead of target.” — CEO .
  • “We’ve had some discrete operational issues [in TT]… rail service interruption… and gaps in operational discipline… actions to rectify are underway.” — CEO .
  • “APM’s Washington Works outage… one-time ~$20M impact; Q3 EBITDA ~ $15M.” — CEO/CFO .
  • “Q3 consolidated net sales down 4–6% sequentially; Adjusted EBITDA $175–$195M; FY25 Adjusted EBITDA $775–$825M.” — CFO Shane Hostetter .

Q&A Highlights

  • Bridging 4Q seasonality vs Q3 guide: ~$35M of TT/APM operational items in Q3 should not repeat in Q4; TSS strength helps offset normal seasonal declines in Q4 .
  • TSS sustainability of margins/growth: Management expects run-rate margins >30% but notes competitive dynamics and some raw-material lag; aftermarket “hoarding” in 2025 seen as limited one-time impact .
  • TT strategy: Emphasis on lowest-cost production and share gains in fair-trade markets; denies structural shift away from value-over-volume, despite aggressive regional positioning .
  • PFAS settlement structure/insurance: $150M upfront via DuPont/Corteva for NJ-related insurance rights; total potential insurance pool ~$750M gross; focused on NJ first . State’s larger “funds” reflect surety/backstop and do not directly add to Chemours’ NPV obligation .
  • Capex cadence: ~ $250M in 2025; medium-term capex may tick up modestly but remains disciplined and focused on safety/compliance and targeted growth .

Estimates Context

Metric (Q2 2025)Consensus*Actual
Revenue ($MM)1,566.8*1,615
Adjusted/Primary EPS ($)0.4569*0.58
EBITDA ($MM)220.8*253 Adjusted EBITDA (company-reported)

Note: S&P Global shows “EBITDA” actual 152.0*, which is not directly comparable to Chemours’ Adjusted EBITDA. We anchor EPS and revenue beats on S&P consensus; EBITDA comparison uses company-reported Adjusted EBITDA definition.
Values marked * are from S&P Global.

Implication: Revenue and EPS were above consensus; Street will likely lift 2H run-rate for TSS but trim TT/APM near-term on Q3 outage/disruption guidance.
Q3 consensus snapshots for context: Revenue ~$1,498.0MM*, EPS ~$0.242*, EBITDA ~$183.6MM* vs company guide $175–$195M .
Values marked * are from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core demand/mix tailwind remains in TSS: regulatory-driven Opteon transition is powering double-digit growth and >30% margins, supporting multi-quarter earnings resilience .
  • TT is a swing factor: sequential volumes improving but pricing and operational reliability are headwinds; management is prioritizing cost/COE actions and sees benefits from China rationalization and anti-dumping measures .
  • APM quality-of-earnings improving on price/mix and portfolio actions, but Q3 outage will temporarily depress results; management points to a one-quarter impact .
  • FY25 guide reset reduces risk: lowering EBITDA range to $775–$825M and adding Q3 specifics increases transparency; a clean Q4 without one-offs is critical to re-rating .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity manageable: $1.5B liquidity and net leverage ~4.7x TTM Adjusted EBITDA; New Jersey settlement structure helps cash-flow visibility through 2030 .
  • Emerging AI optionality: Data center liquid cooling partnerships (DataVolt) and Samsung qualification of Opteon 2-phase immersion fluid broaden medium-term growth avenues beyond refrigerants .
  • Near-term trading setup: Expect focus on TSS seasonality and confirmation that TT/APM operational issues are transitory; delivery vs Q3 guide and clarity on Q4 run-rate are the next catalysts .

“Values retrieved from S&P Global” for any items marked *.